The transactional nature of the London Law Firms means that activity here acts as a good barometer into confidence in the economy. Increases in Law Firm hiring typically can be directly linked to greater demand for their services, either from the Banks, on the one hand, or the Real Estate sector on the other. Therefore the fact that over the last three months, vacancies have been higher this year, than in both 2022 and 2023, is a positive sign, reinforced by a general consensus that the UK economy is performing better than many anticipated, which is reflected in GBP strengthening.
Recruitment for London finance jobs is set for a “slight recovery” under the new Labour government, following a June slump before the general election. From April to June, London’s financial sector had 6,093 vacancies, a 4.9% decrease from the same period in 2023, according to a report by Morgan McKinley and Vacancysoft.
As the UK economy adjusts to a new equilibrium as a result of the change in Government, there have been positive signs of a rebounding in recruitment. Nonetheless, it is worth mentioning that a fair amount of the July hiring was due to vacancies being deferred from earlier in spring, as companies waited on the result of the election. Once the Labour Party was confirmed as having won, companies removed the hiring freeze and moved ahead with the vacancies they had planned for.
The banking sector continued its slump in 2024, with vacancies down 3% compared to last year. However, recent analysis suggests UK securities are undervalued, and with a new government, the sector might rebound – July has shown record performance. Tax has been a key focus for hiring, especially with Labour’s tax-raising agenda. As a result, tax roles have performed strongly, making the upcoming Autumn budget particularly significant.
Within a week of coming to power, Starmer committed to stand with Ukraine, for as long as it takes. As part of that he then committed to new package of artillery and brimstone missiles to be delivered shortly, as well as placing a new order for soviet era ammunition, to help bolster Ukraine’s defences. Hence, the bounce seen across the UK economy in July, was most pronounced in Aerospace & Defence, with vacancies rising month to month by over 40%, and hitting levels last seen in November last year.
