The first half of 2024 has demonstrated market resilience despite ongoing economic challenges. While sectors like banking and real estate face pressures from new government policies and global uncertainties, strategic adjustments are evident.
The banking sector continued its slump in 2024, with vacancies down 3% compared to last year. However, recent analysis suggests UK securities are undervalued, and with a new government, the sector might rebound – July has shown record performance. Tax has been a key focus for hiring, especially with Labour’s tax-raising agenda. As a result, tax roles have performed strongly, making the upcoming Autumn budget particularly significant.
The pandemic’s long-term impact on the industry is still evident, particularly in how we work. The sudden shift from structured, on-site roles to remote work has altered workplace dynamics, with traditional business principles now being challenged, especially by younger generations. This has created challenges for HR departments as businesses face resistance to returning on-site.
With the general election now behind us, the UK economy is showing signs of acceleration. Economists are already revising their forecasts on GDP growth for this year, and the fact that Starmer has won with such a significant mandate means that there is certainty about what lies ahead for business.
The 2023 year saw a dip across both DACH and BENELUX regions, reflected by the EU data. DACH has kept higher numbers than BENELUX since the start of 2022, but this gap is now shortening whilst still being apparent. So far, the first half 2024 is projected to see lower volumes than the full-year estimate.
The UK’s political landscape is particularly noteworthy with Europe facing a series of summer elections. If it gains power, the Labour Party has explicitly stated its intention to improve trade relations with the EU. Although specific plans have not been detailed, any shift in this direction could alleviate the sectoral dampening caused by Brexit.
